by Victor Cherubim
British Prime
Minister Theresa May has lost a key vote on Brexit procedure in Parliament,
yesterday 09 January 2019, the second defeat by rebel MP’s in two days.
The man of
the hour is John Bercow, Speaker of the House of Commons, as he took control of
the Brexit process from the Executive (government) and handed it to MP’s and
Parliament thus giving Theresa May’s government just 3 days instead of the
planned 21 days to present a Plan B for Brexit, if she loses the meaningful
vote on her deal next Tuesday 15 January 2019.
The Telegraph
correspondent Philip Johnston has stated: “In a week while Brexit became a
movie, when no one wants to drop their weapon, yet nobody is prepared to pull
the trigger and everybody is ready to shoot,” a significant act is taking place
in British politics. Parliament has weakened the authority of the Executive and
made Parliament supreme.
Whilst this
is proceeding, Brexit and Anti Brexit Tory rebels have joined forces with the
Labour Opposition to maintain that the Brexit deal “does not deliver what the
people voted for at the referendum.”
Simultaneously,
Theresa May is said to pin her hopes on a last minute EU offer on Brexit and
has sought the support of Labour MP’s by proposing a package of safeguards, to
secure support for her deal in Parliament. The saga continues.
What will happen if there is a No Deal Brexit?
What the
future holds and how people’s lives will be affected, is on the minds of
everyone?
Can anyone
now really stop Britain crashing out of the EU?
The stiff
upper lip of the British is only seen at times like this?
Far from
being a crisis for Britain, the Father of the House of Commons, Conservative
Party Grandee and former Chancellor, Ken Clark had said it will take another 45
years for things to settle down. He and many others maintain that this is how
the British Constitution works in practice. In other words, if one arm of the
Constitution is paralysed, the other arm comes to its aid, making the country
governable.
Many analysts
state that this is important for Brexit because now that Parliament has passed
the amendments in the days ahead of the so called “meaningful vote” next week,
it is harder for the Government of Theresa May to use the threat of a “No deal
Brexit” to
win support for the Exit deal negotiated by Theresa May.
Besides,
Brexiters make known that any effects on a “No deal” will impact Britain in the
short term and that it is manageable?
“That
Parliament can do whatever it wants,” is enshrined in the unwritten British
Constitution, which has evolved over time.
One option is
to run out the clock to the point where Parliament can “cobble” together a
majority to secure another referendum? But, many argue that the First Brexit Referendum
was badly designed and perhaps, unfairly won? Who will dare to word the next
referendum?
Others say
that by shortening the amount of time that Theresa May has to delay
legislation; Parliament has made it less likely for a Second Referendum will
ever take place?
What are the consequences for the European Union?
The EU has
taken steps to make a non negotiated exit easier for itself. The European Union
is naturally in a strong position. It has 27 nations against one nation.
Most of the
practical measures that are required to prevent the worst case scenario and the
most damaging consequences of a “No Deal” does in reality require “a Deal” of
some form of description at the European level and perhaps, not necessarily or essentially at the British level. Measures
designed from the perspective of the remaining 27 EU nations have in fact, been
already taken, by the European Union, as one would expect, because they are
meticulous in their planning.
Everyone is
full of “Great Expectation and some say “there is much ado about nothing”?
There have
been many crises in the history of Britain and Brexit is one among many?
“Rule Britannia”
lives on?
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