| by Barry Lando
(
November 16, 2012, Paris, Sri Lanka
Guardian) All right, kids, we’ll begin our class on world affairs, with an article from
today’s Herald Tribune.
It
says that the United States is sending robotic mine clearing equipment to help
protect tanker traffic through the Straits of Hormuz, in the event the Iranians
try to block that waterway. Those narrow Straits, you’ll remember, are how most
of the oil from the Middle East and the Gulf is shipped to the world.
Protecting
them is the main reason that the United States maintains a large naval base in
Bahrain for its aircraft carriers and destroyers and mine sweepers and so on.
All this costs us tens of billions of dollars a year. But we’ve always been
told that it’s worth it.
Back
in 1980, Jimmy Carter warnedthat the U.S.
would go to war to protect that vital region. That kind of thinking got the
U.S. involved in two hugely expensive Gulf wars, and it has remained bedrock
policy.
This
past September, for instance, the U.S. carried out a
massive joint naval exercise in the Gulf. Among the other countries practicing
what they would do to keep the Straits open in the event of hostilities, were
the United Kingdom, Japan, France, Yemen, Jordan, New Zealand, Estonia,
Netherlands, Italy, Australia, Canada—but, apparently, not China.
Which, kids, is kind of ironic—Why?
Which, kids, is kind of ironic—Why?
Because
with the huge increase in domestic petroleum production, the U.S. will soon no
longer rely at all on the Gulf. In fact, the country for whom the region and
the Straits of Hormuz are essential for its petroleum needs is China.
You
would think Americans would be furious that they’re paying huge sums for
China’s oil security. Indeed, following Jimmy Carter’s logic, it’s the Chinese
who should carry the burden of patrolling the Gulf. But that specter terrifies
many American officials.
In
the same way, you would think the U.S. might welcome China’s new naval
modernization program. They don’t. In fact—though the U.S. navy is much
mightier than China’s, many—like Mitt Romney—argue that the U.S. should ramp up
its own naval program to keep far ahead of the Chinese.
But,
wait, the story is even more complicated: The reason the U.S. navy is bringing
that sophisticated new mine clearing equipment to the Gulf is to free up other
U.S. ships currently patrolling those waterways. Free them up to go where?
To
the Pacific—to join the forces that Obama is shifting to the region to
confront-----the Chinese.
O.K.
class. Any questions?