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The incident of December 23,2007, disproves the Army's claim of having re-established its writ in the Swat Valley. In the meanwhile, there has been a report of an attack on para-military personnel in the Kurram Agency, where there have been frequent Shia-Sunni clashes this year.The Frontier Corps, who reportedly did not incur any casualties, retaliated killing five civilians.
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The incident of December 23,2007, disproves the Army's claim of having re-established its writ in the Swat Valley. In the meanwhile, there has been a report of an attack on para-military personnel in the Kurram Agency, where there have been frequent Shia-Sunni clashes this year.The Frontier Corps, who reportedly did not incur any casualties, retaliated killing five civilians.
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Of the 10 attacks against civilian targets, four were against political leaders, perceived as either pro-Musharraf or pro-US. These were Mrs.Benazir Bhutto, former Prime Minister, who escaped an assassination attempt at Karachi on October 18,2007, when she returned to Pakistan after her long political exile, two on Mr. Aftab Ahmed Khan Sherpao, a pro-Musharraf Pashtun leader of the North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) who has escaped two attempts to kill him, and Mr.Amir Muqam, another pro-Musharraf Pashtun leader, who also escaped being killed by a suicide bomber. The remaining six attacks were against miscellaneous civilian targets.
The latest suicide attacks---one on the day of Id and the other two days after--- have been reported from Charsaddha, the home town of Mr.Sherpao, and Mingora, in the Swat Valley of the NWFP, which has been the scene of bitter fighting between the Pakistan Army and jihadi terrorists belonging to the pro-Al Qaeda Tehrik-e-Nifaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi (TNSM) of Maulana Fazlullah, popularly known as Maulana FM Radio. Charsaddha is 20 KMs north-east of Peshawar.
Mr.Sherpao used to be one of the Pashtun loyalists of Benazir Bhutto and was an important office-bearer of her Pakistan People's Party. Before the 2002 elections to the National Assembly, President Pervez Musharraf and the ISI managed to persuade him to desert her and form his own faction of the PPP opposed to her. This desertion led to the marginalisation of the PPP in the Pashtun areas. Musharraf rewarded him for his desertion by making him the Minister of the Interior. In that capacity, he served in the former Cabinet of Mr.Shaukat Aziz, which has since been replaced by a care-taker Cabinet to organise the general elections, sheduled for January 8,2007.
While thus rewarding him with the Interior portfolio, Musharraf took away from his charge all matters relating to the fight against terrorism in the Pashtun belt. The Army directly handled this subject through the Governor of the NWFP, a retired Pashtun Army officer belonging to the Federally-Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). (Lt.Gen.Muhammad Ali Jan Aurakzai)
The first attempt to kill Mr.Sherpao took place on April 28,2007, when he was leaving the venue of a public meeting addressed by him at his home town. A suicide bomber blew himself up in his vicinity. He escaped, but 30 people----his security personnel and by-standers---were killed.
The second attempt to kill him was made by another suicide bomber at a local mosque of Charsaddha during the Id prayers on December 21,2007. Mr.Sherpao, who was among those praying, escaped, but 55 members of the Id congregation----including many of his security staff-- were killed.
The police have not so far been able to detect the first attempt of April 28,2007. Investigation into the latest attempt has just started. Al Qaeda, the Taliban and their associates observed a 10-day truce in connection with the Id, which expired on December 22,2007. The attack on Mr.Sherpao took place on the day of the Id, when the truce was still being observed. It is, therefore, unlikely that any of these organisations might have been involved. Mr.Sherpao himself seems to suspect that the two attacks on him must have been due to partisan Pashtun politics and not due to his role as the Interior Minister.
On December 23,2007, five soldiers and six civilians were killed in the Mingora area of the Swat Valley, when a suicide bomber, driving a vehicle, blew himself up by the side of an army convoy. Sirajuddin, a spokesman of the TNSM, has claimed responsibility for the attack on behalf of the newly-formed Tehrik-e-Taliban-e-Pakistan. Incidentally, the 10-day ultimatum issued by the Tehrik to the Army expired on December 23,2007.The ultimatum had demanded that the Pakistani Government should stop its military operations in the tribal areas and release Maulana Abdul Aziz Ghazi, who was captured by the security forces during the commando action in the Lal Masjid of Islamabad. The Tehrik had threatened to launch a joint fight against the Government if the demands were not met.
The incident of December 23,2007, disproves the Army's claim of having re-established its writ in the Swat Valley. In the meanwhile, there has been a report of an attack on para-military personnel in the Kurram Agency, where there have been frequent Shia-Sunni clashes this year.The Frontier Corps, who reportedly did not incur any casualties, retaliated killing five civilians. The identity of the assailants is not known.
(B.Raman is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com )
There’s clearly an array of powers at work creating the case right now for a war on the Pashtun tribal regions. These things don’t just happen in a vacuum. Wars seem to start with the careful choreography of the news media. The war masters, the maestros, start feeding their lap dogs, the press. The music is then played by the press for the rest of us to hear.
Notice how all the papers are beginning to play the same thing about the Afghan and Pakistan border? The theme of “lawless frontier” is being played every week. The sound drowns out the reality of a noble 5000 year old culture of some 42-million people.
We hear instead about the vilified denizens of a “lawless tribal frontier.”
What you missed it? Well, it’s only been playing for about two weeks. You need to tune in to the inside pages. The maestros have been composing for a while longer…. Their creative juices kicked in about the time Sen. Obama, answering one of those deadly sucker-punch sound bite questions showed us his war face telling us he would take action on “high-value terrorist targets" in Pakistan if President Pervez Musharraf "won't act.
That’s the sunshine it took to start the war-sap flowing. War-sap is sticky stuff, its residue has been known to encapsulate the creatures that get too near and preserve them there for posterity.
There is a legal system in place of course, in this lawless frontier. It’s been there for 5000 years. The Pashtun call the system the jirga. But its not part of the sharia law, it’s unique to the Pashtun and precedes Islam by thousands of years. But we don’t sing about that just now.
Please, I definitely don’t want the Pashtun to start signing their homeland song either. I don’t want to learn that an 1893 border line drawn with the blessing of Queen Victoria divided a group of mountain dwellers along the Afghan and Pakistan boarder in two.
I thought mountain ridges where proper borders. Everybody uses them. I just can’t handle the sound of another this-a-stan or that-a-stan popping up. So please, I don’t want to know about a Pashtunistan. And I definitely have no interest in anything 5000 years old, if it means Obama can catch Osama on good intelligence, bring it on! That should be Commander Obama’s war face call: “Bring it on!” Hmmmm, that sounds familiar.
What is this Pashtuni-whatever, Pashtunwahli, anyway?
It’s a code of conduct. The Pashtun openly express somewhat defiantly, total cultural independence and have seen conquering armies and powers come and go through the millennia. Probably because of their original geographic high mountain foothold they could stand off vast armies with terrain advantage. Well it’s about time maybe for all that to stop.
If the Pashtun just hang in there with there non-violent thesis a few more generations, they'll be the dominant culture of the entire region with the new awakening of intellectual prowess and coming Islamic Reformation which is beginning right now. Their hopes of control over their resources, a name for themselves, and an end to fundamentalist radical Islamic persecution will fade away and they will be the dominant culture. They would be wise to muster whatever assets are needed, magically go find Osama bin Laden and turn him over to the world court thus avoiding a coming war in the tribal area.
And, how come they sound more like American cowboys than foreigners? Darn it, if we are going to start another little war, can’t we start it with some body that doesn’t live like my great, grandfather? The old Pashtun nationalist non-violent Kahn Abdul Gaffari Kahn 1930's photo, even looks like grandpa!
Setting aside the Pashtun mostly pray to the same God I do, grandpa did, and great grandpa too, how on earth did they adopt the same code as the old cowboy code of the west?
According to “lawless frontier” musical score, the first impressions I hear is Pashtun love rifles, chewing green tobacco, and appreciate a good sense of humor. So what's not to like? I can’t go to war on that.
If I fell out of the sky and landed in a group of people like that, I'd get along just fine, especially if I were being chased by the law. What they call Nanawateh we call asylum. Nanawateh is extended even to an enemy, just like the Cowboy Code of the Old West. Except if you are granted asylum (called Lokhay Warkawal) by the Pashtun elders as a group you're in like Flynn! They protect you even if it means forfeiting their own lives. Man that is lawless. Imagine a code of living where a principal was so honored, that it exceeded my duty to the state. Hmmm. Now that is lawless. Isn’t it?
Better to just seek hospitality, then they’ll treat you like a king, which makes me want to open a 5-Star hotel somewhere in the snowy peaks along the boarder if I can find a few acres for a ski-lift not planted in opium poppies, viewed on Google Earth satellite, not that anyone is actually checking the carefully cultivated fields above 6,000 feet along the borders. I would feel right at home there, not unlike parts of Tennessee or California.
Look at the forces arrayed here. My little fantasy war is going to happen.
The Democrats need to show they can be trusted with national defense again, be it Hillary or Obama. And McCain says fight to win.
The second verse of the song is still being written: Floating the contingency balloon. Up, up, and awa-a-a-ay, in my beautiful ball-o-o-o-on….
Obama or Hillary, or McCain get sworn in January 20, 2009. By mid June, whoever is President is going to make a push into the boarder regions the so-called "lawless frontier tribal zones” and “on good intelligence,” unless of course my leader does it first before June 20th. The operation will be Pakistan’s (well okay we’ll give them a few billion). It will be a fast coordinated air-ground attack with airborne US intelligence and lots of surrounding US air cover as a safety check to insure the operation stays within operational parameters. Pakistani’s will not go into Afghanistan and vice a versa. Meantime the Pakistan Navy will be backed up (some would say surrounded and outgunned) by the US Navy to keep a lid on the operation seeing to it they don’t launch an attack on India by Pakistan Islamic fundamentalist-leaning ground forces. We’ll hold India’s hand throughout the entire episode and offer security where needed.
Up, up and awa-a-a-ay in my beautiful …. This thing’s going to happen regardless of who wins.
You can’t deny the poetic justice in someone with a Muslim name (Obama) catching a renegade terrorist (Osama). Can you imagine the songs that we could write about that? To the tune of “Froggy went a courting.”
Obama went a hunting and he did hunt, uh-huh
Obama went a hunting and he did hunt, uh-huh
Obama went a hunting and he did hunt, he hunt Osama on the Mount
Obama went a hunting and he did hunt, un-huh. …..
The best time to wage this little war would be during the Chinese Olympics. China would likely remain quiet with their hands temporarily full with the Olympics.
So my fantasy, glorious, contingency war needs to be brief, violent, and force the Pashtun jirga to rethink their long term cultural interests. It needs to end with Osama in a holding tank, brought up on charges in the world court.
If it fails? Well what do you expect from the lawless tribal frontier area in Pakistan with questionable army allegiance? Corruption is everywhere.
I’d still like to open a 5-star hotel with some good ski-runs. You don’t suppose the opium production their so good at, has anything to do with the foolishness of some of our drug laws? Nah.
Victor Davis Hanson says you have to look at war with a long term perspective in order to understand its meaning. Long term is real long term. It may well turn out that while many say Bush's legacy must be a failure, history may have a completely different take on things, long after both you and I and our great grand children have come and gone. It may turn out, that doomed legacy of a Bush Presidency we hear so often this campaign-cycle ends up being written 1000 years from now as the President who started Islamic Reformation and brought freedoms that enabled thinking people to ask questions about religious practices that eventually changed the world and started the east and the west talking again.
The Ritz, I like that franchise, a 5-star Ritz, mini-conference center. A Pashtun bag-piper paying my old favorite, “The Ass in the Graveyard” with double malt scotch, in the bracing night air.
Respectfully,
Warbucks
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